Will the CDU in eastern german states try to form a government with the far-right AfD after the next election?
Basic
6
Ṁ506Jan 25
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
This market is set to close later this week, maybe it should be open until all five eastern States have had their elections? These are the respective dates:
Brandenburg: 2024-09-22
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: 2026
Saxony: 2024-09-01
Saxony-Anhalt: 2026
Thuringia: 2024-09-01
Berlin votes in 2026, if you want to count them.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the AfD receive >= 20% of votes in the 2025 German federal election?
82% chance
Will the CDU/CSU lose ground in the polls after their vote with the AfD?
57% chance
Which parties will form the next German federal government?
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
56% chance
Will the far-right german party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), get the most seats in german parliament (2025)?
7% chance
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
20% chance
Will die Linke win any seats in the next German federal election?
64% chance
Will the CDU in eastern german states try to form a government with the far-right AfD after the next election?
10% chance
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
90% chance
WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
30% chance