WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
17
180Ṁ12572031
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves yes if AfD is part of the government of Germany (at the national level) at any point prior to December 31, 2030
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the AfD receive >= 20% of votes in the 2025 German federal election?
72% chance
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
93% chance
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the Greens in Germany's next federal election?
98% chance
Combined vote share of AfD and BSW in 2025 German federal election
Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?
11% chance
Which coalitions will be feasible after the 2025 German Bundestag election?
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
26% chance
Will Germany need a three party coalition?
60% chance
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
25% chance
Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?
92% chance