Resolves to my subjective judgement of why he was kicked out.

I will end this market in 30 days, no extensions. This makes "we don't know" a possible reasonable answer.

Comment to add some other reasons and I'll add them if I think they are interesting.

edit 2023-11-17 20:41:

Multiple options can resolve to YES, this is an unlinked multichoice question. For example, if Sam was fired for lying to the board to conceal his profit-driven company direction, then it could mean that "Sam defrauding/lying to the board" and "Disagreement over the profit vs nonprofit direction of OpenAI" could both resolve to YES (if there is sufficient evidence that he was fired for both reasons).

So, I am somewhat surprised that the option "Sam defrauding/lying to the board" is trading so low given that we have pretty convincing evidence (the statement from the OpenAI board themselves) that is what he was fired for...