
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2026?
35
1kṀ19kJan 6
1%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
start counting from 2024
Update 2025-12-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Before 2026" means "by end of 2025"
The market will resolve YES if Sam Altman leaves OpenAI by December 31, 2025 (not by the end of 2026).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
85% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2025?
98% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2027?
23% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2028?
37% chance
When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI?
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2027?
76% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before 2030?
62% chance
Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
65% chance
Will Sam Altman stop being the CEO of OpenAI again at any point before 2028?
30% chance
Sort by:
@AndrewHebb I'll stay out of the market until it's clarified, just in case. "Before 2026" does suggest "by end of 2025" to me more than "by end of 2026", but it's common for the closing date to be used to interpret the meaning of the words in the market title.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
85% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2025?
98% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2027?
23% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2028?
37% chance
When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI?
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2027?
76% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before 2030?
62% chance
Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
65% chance
Will Sam Altman stop being the CEO of OpenAI again at any point before 2028?
30% chance