MANIFOLD
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2026?
36
Ṁ1kṀ19k
resolved Jan 27
Resolved
NO

start counting from 2024

  • Update 2025-12-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Before 2026" means "by end of 2025"

The market will resolve YES if Sam Altman leaves OpenAI by December 31, 2025 (not by the end of 2026).

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@AmmonLam - Altman didn't leave, so presumably this can now resolve as NO.

Leave it as is.

Red alert waa temporary

bought Ṁ50 YES

this is "before end of 2026" as per closing date, right?

@StevenK It better not be.

@AndrewHebb I'll stay out of the market until it's clarified, just in case. "Before 2026" does suggest "by end of 2025" to me more than "by end of 2026", but it's common for the closing date to be used to interpret the meaning of the words in the market title.

@StevenK updated closing date.

"Before 2026" means "by end of 2025"

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