
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
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The Russian civil war of 1917-1923 doesn't count. I only mean a war that started later that the creation of the market (6 May 2023).
Update (25 Jan 2024): after discussion with @PS, I decided that if an edge case arises, I will check Wikipedia and Western media and see if they consistently describe the conflict in question as a civil war. Also, if in doubt, I may or may not temporarily freeze the market and consult the traders, and/or resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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