From https://metaculus.com//questions/15650/venezualan-civil-war/ For many years, Venezuela has been suffering a [national crisis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crisis_in_Venezuela) that includes hyperinflation, the decline of oil prices, frequent protests and brutal gang violence. As a result, millions of Venezuelans have fled the country. Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has warned of a [civil war](https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-47112284), and [multiple](https://globalsecurityreview.com/is-venezuela-becoming-a-failed-state/) [major](https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/26/opinion/contributors/how-to-avoid-civil-war-in-venezuela.html) [media](https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-specter-of-civil-war-in-venezuela/2017/08/13/aaa07852-7ecd-11e7-a669-b400c5c7e1cc_story.html) [publications](https://time.com/4931053/its-time-to-plan-for-civil-war-in-venezuela/) have discussed the possibility as well.