Will the US be at war with Russia at any point until 2040?
5
70Ṁ1052040
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There needs to be armed conflict, so stuff like cold war doesn't count.
US providing weapons to Ukraine (or any other country) but not operating them through its military also doesn't count.
In case of doubt, I'll ask random people within my social circle (not Americans and not Manifold users) whether the US is at war with Russia.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
30% chance
Will the US be at war with Russia at any point until 2030?
13% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
45% chance
What countries will the US be at war with in 2034?
Will Russia Exist in 2040?
94% chance
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
33% chance
Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops [>10000] before 2060?
58% chance
Will Russia confront USA by the end of 2029?
20% chance
Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops (other than Ukrainian, >10000) before 2060?
20% chance
Will the United States engage in a war with another country by January 1, 2026?
17% chance