Will the US be at war with Russia at any point until 2040?
3
70Ṁ20
2040
35%
chance

There needs to be armed conflict, so stuff like cold war doesn't count.

US providing weapons to Ukraine (or any other country) but not operating them through its military also doesn't count.

In case of doubt, I'll ask random people within my social circle (not Americans and not Manifold users) whether the US is at war with Russia.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules