Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030?

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2030

11%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if Russia annexes or occupies territory that was previously controlled by Georgia or Georgia suffers over 100 casualties due to Russian military action.

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What if Georgia takes back some of the breakaway republics' territory sustaining less than 100 casualties?

This would resolve positive if Russia salami slices a little more land on the border?

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