Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops [>10000] before 2060?
24
240Ṁ4860
2060
58%
chance

Resolves YES if any foreign enemy troops enter internationally recognized 1991 Russia borders with the goal to take control of some Russian territory. The troops count should be adequate to the goal stated, with >10000 combatants. (The same rules apply to Ukrainian troops: the border crossings only count if they have a goal of taking control of some territory and use adequate forces so e.g. May/June 2023 incursions would not have counted).

Resolves NO in 2060.

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