Assuming a potential future war scenario, how will the three main powers align?
35
1kαΉ€1616
2033
66%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USA versus ( πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Russia + πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China )
9%
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China versus ( πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USA + πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Russia )
12%
πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Russia versus ( πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USA + πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China )
14%
Other

*Three main powers are considered as such mainly because of their energy resources and military power.

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If there is a shooting war with large casualties between A and B, how involved does C have to be on one of the sides to trigger a resolution? From least to most

  • Complete neutrality

  • Verbal support only

  • Economic support

  • Military research, advisers

  • Sending weapons, trade blockades

  • Small independent battles

  • Full on independent battles

  • Shared military control

@Ernie I would say military actions that can be seen as having the same strategic direction

What is the threshold for deciding that war has occurred?

@Ernie good question, perhaps it is already happening

How does "Other" work here? Would it resolve that way if another country is seen to supplant one of these 3 as a great power before war begins, or are these 3 set for the purposes of this question so Other just contains "all against all" or one or more sitting out?

@JakeDennie Yes, it's some unpredictable scenario, such as another country become a superpower that pass any of these 3 for military and resources

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Assuming a potential future World War scenario, how will the three main powers align?
Which countries will the United States be at war with by the end of 2025?
How would countries align in a war between the USA and China?
Will any of the following western countries go to war with each other before 2030?
8% chance
Which of these military conflicts will escalate to war in 2025?
Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?
23% chance
Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070?
52% chance
What countries will the US be at war with in 2034?
Will a major war break out in 2025?
33% chance
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?
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