China economic recession before US?
5
100Ṁ992035
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
70%
Economic recession begins in US first
28%
Economic recession begins in China first
17%
Economic recession begins simultaneously in China and US
For this market, economic recession means having two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. Time is counted in terms of year quarter. Resolves according to data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for US and the National Bureau of Statistics for China.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@DaniellqdC6 It'll probably add confusion to the traders if different sources disagree. You could treat this market as about the data rather than the economies themselves. It is still fair since traders who read the description will, too.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
5% chance
US recession in 2026?
38% chance
United States Recession by End of Q2?
1% chance
Will China's economy enter a recession by 2025?
8% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
5% chance
US Recession in 2025?
7% chance
When will the next US recession be?
Will China have a recession by 2029?
58% chance
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
10% chance
US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)
3% chance