China economic recession before US?
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74%
Economic recession begins in US first
28%
Economic recession begins in China first
22%
Economic recession begins simultaneously in China and US
For this market, economic recession means having two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. Time is counted in terms of year quarter. Resolves according to data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for US and the National Bureau of Statistics for China.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@DaniellqdC6 It'll probably add confusion to the traders if different sources disagree. You could treat this market as about the data rather than the economies themselves. It is still fair since traders who read the description will, too.
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