Silver price under $69 in July 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ100Jul 31
50%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will use this data set:
Silver Jul 26 (SI=F) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance
Using a GEV model fitted to the past 3 months of daily data, the 50% return level for the monthly minimum is $69.38. Will the actual maximum for July be under this model-derived level?
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000