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MANIFOLD
Bitcoin price August 2026 - beat the statistics
1
Ṁ125Ṁ100
Aug 27
50%
Above maximum daily high: $66,910.06
50%
Above median daily highs: $64,638.70 (but below max)
4%
Stays between the medians
50%
Under median daily lows: $63,206.21 (but above min)
50%
Under minimum daily low: $57,747.77

A primitive Python script to analyse basic gold price statistics of July.

Bitcoin BTC (BTC-USD) Live Price, News, Chart & Price History - Yahoo Finance

Added a primitive linear regression prediction.

See if you can beat the statistics:

Statistics for July 2026

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Monthly maximum based on daily high: $66,910.06

Median of the month's daily highs: $64,638.70

Median of the month's daily lows: $63,206.21

Monthly minimum based on daily low: $57,747.77

Primitive linear projection

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Regression source period: July 2026 only

Prediction period: August 2026

Last actual observation: 2026-07-31

Prediction ending date: 2026-08-31

Daily-high regression slope: $92.5500 per observation

Daily-low regression slope: $112.7765 per observation

Projected daily high at period end: $67,271.73

Projected daily low at period end: $64,779.17

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SUMMARY OF CALCULATED VALUES:

============================================================

1. Monthly Maximum (Daily High): $66910.06

2. Monthly Maximum Median (Daily High): $64638.70

3. Monthly Minimum Median (Daily Low): $63206.21

4. Monthly Minimum (Daily Low): $57747.77

5. Predicted End of Next Month (High): $68029.80

6. Predicted End of Next Month (Low): $67052.00

============================================================

============================================================

PRIMITIVE LINEAR PROJECTION

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Latest actual observation: 2026-07-31

Projection ending date: 2026-08-24

Daily-high regression slope: $92.5500 per observation

Daily-low regression slope: $112.7765 per observation

Projected daily high at period end: $68,029.80

Projected daily low at period end: $67,052.00

============================================================

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@creator do you only care about price as of the end of the month or if ANY value is outside the given range the option resolves as no instantly?