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MANIFOLD
Gold futures price August 2026 - beat the statistics
0
Ṁ125
Aug 27
50%
Above maximum daily high: $4,199.70
50%
Above median daily highs: $4,101.20 (but below max)
50%
Stays between medians
50%
Under median daily lows: $4,027.10 (but above min)
50%
Under minimum daily low: $3,963.00

A primitive Python script to analyse basic gold price statistics of July.

Gold Aug 26 (GC=F) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance

Added a primitive linear regression prediction.

See if you can beat the statistics:

ChatGPT script results:

Calculation-period verification

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Requested previous month: 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-31

First available trading observation: 2026-07-01

Last available trading observation: 2026-07-31

Number of observations used: 22

Statistics use previous month only: YES

Regressions use previous month only: YES

Statistics for July 2026

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Monthly maximum based on daily high: $4,199.70

Median of the month's daily highs: $4,101.20

Median of the month's daily lows: $4,027.10

Monthly minimum based on daily low: $3,963.00

Primitive linear projection

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Regression source period: July 2026 only

Prediction period: August 2026

Last actual observation: 2026-07-31

Prediction ending date: 2026-08-31

Daily-high regression slope: $-3.2197 per observation

Daily-low regression slope: $-1.0794 per observation

Projected daily high at period end: $4,034.79

Projected daily low at period end: $3,999.73

DeepSeek script results:

Data for July 2026:

Number of trading days: 22

Monthly Maximum (based on Daily High): $4199.70

Monthly Maximum Median (based on Daily High): $4101.20

Monthly Minimum Median (based on Daily Low): $4027.10

Monthly Minimum (based on Daily Low): $3963.00

Estimated trading days in next month: 22

Prediction for end of next month (High): $3991.47

Prediction for end of next month (Low): $4000.50

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SUMMARY OF CALCULATED VALUES:

============================================================

1. Monthly Maximum (Daily High): $4199.70

2. Monthly Maximum Median (Daily High): $4101.20

3. Monthly Minimum Median (Daily Low): $4027.10

4. Monthly Minimum (Daily Low): $3963.00

5. Predicted End of Next Month (High): $3991.47

6. Predicted End of Next Month (Low): $4000.50

============================================================

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PRIMITIVE LINEAR PROJECTION

============================================================

Latest actual observation: 2026-07-31

Projection ending date: 2026-08-24

Daily-high regression slope: $-3.2197 per observation

Daily-low regression slope: $-1.0794 per observation

Projected daily high at period end: $3,991.47

Projected daily low at period end: $4,000.50

============================================================

Market context
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