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MANIFOLD
Will the price of silver metal (SI=F) close above $50/ounce at the end of November?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ43
Nov 30
55%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the closing price of the front-month Silver Futures contract (SI=F on COMEX / CME Globex) is strictly greater than $50.00 per troy ounce on the final trading day of November. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

  • Source of truth: Official closing / settlement data as reported on Yahoo Finance (SI=F) or directly on the CME Group Silver Futures Settlements.

  • Measurement: Resolution will be determined by the official daily settlement price on the last regular trading session of November. If November 30 falls on a weekend or holiday, the relevant session is the immediately preceding trading day.

  • Edge cases: Intraday highs above $50.00 will not count if the contract settles at or below $50.00. If the ticker changes or trades under a different continuous symbol, the active front-month COMEX 5,000 oz silver futures contract will serve as the reference.

Background

Silver futures (SI=F) trade on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) in standard contract sizes of 5,000 troy ounces. Historically, the nominal $50 level represents major psychological resistance, having served as a peak during the 1980 Hunt Brothers squeeze and again during the commodity spike in April 2011.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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