Will China conduct a missile or air strike on territory controlled by Taiwan resulting in at least 5 deaths by EOY 2024?
Plus
12
Ṁ1363Jan 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will China launch an attack on Taiwan in 2024?
5% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by EOY 2025/beginning of year 2026?
20% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
45% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
27% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
45% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
26% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2024?
4% chance
[ACX 2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
4% chance