🎃What will happen in October 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
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Plus
108
Ṁ48k
resolved Nov 1
Resolved
YES
Something is called an "October surprise" by Fox, CNN, NYT, or AP
Resolved
YES
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation continues to meet or exceed 95%
Resolved
YES
Francis is Pope for the entire month
Resolved
YES
T1 advances to the playoffs in the League of Legends World Championship
Resolved
YES
Joe Biden is President on October 31, 2024 at 11:59:59pm EST
Resolved
YES
The market "Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?" by Jack has Harris > 55% or < 51% for at least one second
Resolved
YES
Epic Rap Battles of History releases a Trump v. Harris rap battle
Resolved
YES
NASDAQ hits an all time high
Resolved
YES
BTC falls below $60k
Resolved
YES
At least one share of nVidia stock is traded above $100 during normal, premarket, or after hours trading
Resolved
YES
A YouTube video specifically about octagons, octogenarians, octopi, Doctor Octopus, Emperor Octavian, the Oculus Rift, or Occultism is posted and gets >1M views
Resolved
YES
Debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance
Resolved
YES
xkcd has 1 comic at least with no stick figures in it
Resolved
YES
Claude 3.5 Haiku is being released
Resolved
YES
Hurricane makes landfall in Florida
Resolved
YES
The Silver Bulletin model shows Trump as more likely to win an Electoral College majority than Harris at any point.
Resolved
YES
Tesla catches fire as reported by news or by tesla-fire.com
Resolved
N/A
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month
Resolved
N/A
People don costumes and take to the streets, house to house, to beg candy from strangers.
Resolved
N/A
An event that could be considered an October Surprise, as judged by chris (strutheo), occurs

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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bought Ṁ230 Answer #b7a3npuwj4 NO
bought Ṁ100 Answer #76l4ld8wii NO
An event that could be considered an October Surprise, as judged by chris (strutheo), occurs

can na this one @mods ty

NASDAQ hits an all time high
bought Ṁ745 NASDAQ hits an all t... YES

@strutheo
High 18,690.01
52-wk high 18,690.01
previously was 18671

The Silver Bulletin model shows Trump as more likely to win an Electoral College majority than Harris at any point.

@strutheo Can't this one resolve YES now?

memes move so fast i had to look this one up again lol

@strutheo The market seems not to have figured this out until a few weeks ago

The Silver Bulletin model shows Trump as more likely to win an Electoral College majority than Harris at any point.
bought Ṁ500 The Silver Bulletin ... YES
The market "Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?" by Jack has Harris > 55% or < 51% for at least one second
bought Ṁ685 The market "Who will... YES

@SteveSokolowski @strutheo resolves yes for both versions of Jack's market

A YouTube video specifically about octagons, octogenarians, octopi, Doctor Octopus, Emperor Octavian, the Oculus Rift, or Occultism is posted and gets >1M views
sold Ṁ0 A YouTube video spec... NO

@MugaSofer yeah fair enough I'd count that :)

bought Ṁ287 Answer #09ec4a783e9a NO

@SteveSokolowski @strutheo
Phillies out

Also hurricane makes landfall

sold Ṁ83 Hurricane makes land... NO

I don't know any more.. Gifted acc some mana....

@strutheo resolves NO

BTC falls below $60k
bought Ṁ506 BTC falls below $60k YES

@SteveSokolowski @strutheo
I see a 59997.78 a little over 4 hours ago on Google
Yahoo finance shows low on 2 Oct as 59996.95 but todays low over 60k.

bought Ṁ828 Answer #def0fa8149f1 NO

Astros out in wildcard

xkcd has 1 comic at least with no stick figures in it
bought Ṁ83 xkcd has 1 comic at ... YES

@strutheo This already resolves YES

@SteveSokolowski I guess this would include the US shooting down Iranian drones like they did in April?

sold Ṁ151 Answer #def807b3ed59 NO

@strutheo I still think this should resolve YES.

Here is the current progress on the AGI polls.

bought Ṁ50 Answer #b7a3npuwj4 YES

@strutheo , why not resolve the market "Polaris Dawn launches?"

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