🦃What will happen in November 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
23
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1.8K
Dec 1
70%
Manifold reaches a peak in site traffic
70%
The Nintendo Switch successor system is offically revealed (including official name)
69%
The AP declares a winner in the presidential election before 6 am the next day
66%
Democrats capture the House
65%
A lawsuit regarding the presidential election results is filed
59%
An American presidential candidate receiving over 10 million votes concedes.
57%
A tesla catches fire as reported by tesla-fire.com
52%
T1 wins League of Legends World Championship
50%
Joe Biden is elected president for a second term
50%
Donald Trump elected President
50%
Novak Djokovic mentions Nova Scotia, supernovae, novels, embers, or embryos on social media
50%
Eagles have the most wins in the NFL
44%
2 or more inches of snow fall in nyc
43%
Turnout will be over 160 million in the US presidential election
41%
NASDAQ hits an all time high
39%
Electoral college vote opposite the popular vote
34%
Donald Trump elected President but loses the popular vote
28%
Weak AGI exists, as indicated by the Metaculus market on the topic having resolved YES any time before the end of the month
28%
William is King of the United Kingdom
27%
Phillies win the World Series

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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I'm not wasting my time on these markets anymore. I've followed your rules, @strutheo , and not added meta-market questions, and you keep wasting my time by closing questions.

Good luck. I'll be betting somewhere else.

@SteveSokolowski hey @SteveSokolowski , you add a lot of questions in advance which i am ok with, but i do choose to NA a few of them, because they are usually something that will sit at 99% for the next 10 months and don't strike me as interesting. i do have the right to NA any for any reason, as wrote in the description.

@SteveSokolowski no worries, they'll be here for you if you return!

@SteveSokolowski dude you have added SO MANY questions across all the month markets, i only NAed a few, leave some slots for the other people too, there are only 100 per question, and they're going to get filled up fast

@SteveSokolowski i just realized, maybe you arent seeing my comments when i NA them on the other markets

Understandable to NA if you don't want the same question on each one. Funny enough, November is probably the most likely month 😅 not that any of them are going to happen of course

Don't want to deal with this question? Lol

@Kraalnaxx i feel after 10 months of this one it will get old