☃️What will happen in December 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
CultureNewsWorld2024Grab BagCoolFoldWhat Will Happen MarketsDecember
Basic
23
Ṁ2.3k
Jan 1
96%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
96%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month
88%
Someone other than Joe Biden or Donald Trump receives an electoral vote
63%
web3isgoinggreat makes at least 20 posts this month
57%
A tesla catches fire as reported by tesla-fire.com
57%
2 or more inches of snow fall in nyc
50%
One or more faithless electors
45%
Jimmy Carter says something
41%
NASDAQ hits an all time high
24%
Dec (from Ant & Dec) mentions decimals, decibels, tough decisions, despots, Despicable Me, or Despacito on social media
23%
Tumbles is late to pay back a loan https://manifold.markets/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
22%
Coup attempt in the United States
14%
8.0+ magnitude earthquake
Resolved
N/A
This market hits 2000 unique traders
Resolved
N/A
Weak AGI exists, as defined by the Metaculus market on the topic having resolved YES before the end of the month

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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Someone other than Joe Biden or Donald Trump receives an electoral vote
bought Ṁ100 Someone other than J... YES

@AlexanderMiller lol

lol wow

Dec (from Ant & Dec) mentions decimals, decibels, tough decisions, despots, Despicable Me, or Despacito on social media
bought Ṁ40 Dec (from Ant & Dec)... NO

A quick Google suggests he doesn't have his own social media, just shared Ant & Dec social media. How to resolve if e.g. the @AntAndDec Twitter account tweets on one of these topics?

@MugaSofer I'll count that then haha

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