📆What will happen in 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
Basic
309
118k
Jan 1
January starts
February starts
March starts
April starts
May starts
June starts
July starts
98.9%
new iphone releases
98.1%
spacex makes 100 launches in 1 year, all in 2024
97%
Kamala and Trump debate
96%
Bitcoin closes higher on Festivus (Dec. 23, 2024) than it closed on Festivus (Dec. 23, 2023) [EST] ***- $43,739.54 - closing price on Festivus 2023***
93%
jd vance and walz debate
93%
Manifold users rate manifold politics as a successful experiment at eoy
89%
English Wikipedia will reach 6.93 million articles.
89%
Any world leader says a racial slur
87%
linda yaccarino still ceo of twitter at end of year
86%
A famous global brand undergoes a rebranding
80%
coup of a UN recognized country happens
77%
prong.studio releases a 3rd product and starts taking preorders or sales (not including accessories / parts)
73%
contrapoints releases a video after Twilight
68%
official trailer releases for S&box (new facepunch / garry mod game)
64%
Anyone from the 2023 Time100 passes away (https://time.com/collection/100-most-influential-people-2023/)
63%
Deagle's old "2025 forecast" will turn out to be completely wrong
61%
The next actor to play James Bond will be announced
61%
something related to seinfeld (the show) happens as jerry seinfeld hinted at last fall
57%
any country starts a new invasion of another country
57%
someone gets 1M spice (points)

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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@strutheo this happened

@Primer resolve pls

Doesn't seem like I can. Please resolve No, @strutheo Thanks!

jd vance and walz debate
bought Ṁ50 jd vance and walz de... NO

@strutheo Going to be hard to have a VP debate with Harris now that she is the nominee for President

"kamala's VP" means Kamala's VP candidate on her ticket, e.g. Tim Walz. So the question is whether Vance and Walz have a debate.

Ah okay

Didn’t a hurricane just hit Florida?

bought Ṁ3,877 Answer #22088797f77c NO

@strutheo "Joe Biden wins USA 2024 election" - this can resolve NO

bought Ṁ750 Answer #c7e34f7c968a YES

@strutheo Mel Brooks is now 98

HBD MEL

let's see if we can hit 99 this year 💯

bought Ṁ1,000 Answer #14ad9ffe3d0a YES
any country starts a new invasion of another country
bought Ṁ5 any country starts a... NO

Why is this so high? Did an invasion happen I don't know about?

I assume it's related to israel and lebanon? (if an invasion has happened it would be resolved already, so this seems more anticipatory)

reposted

july started

bought Ṁ989 Answer #029fd9b75999 YES

@strutheo I assume we're changing this to $100 for the stock split?

bought Ṁ50 Answer #a0048c71df82 NO

@shankypanky Since you're the main NO bettor, is that what you had in mind?

no? I had in mind that "nvidia ends the year over $1000 usd"

I can't see fundamentally changing the figure and considering it the same thing. it should either resolve as stated or NA.

imo

(tbc I don't know anything about a stock split and I'm not in a position to look it up or go into this right now, but on the face it seems weird to change the whole option despite having bets)

Id na it , the stock split changed everything by 10x ( I basically had to update all my pre split markets to reflect it )

reposted

june ending soon!