๐ด Introducing: FOLDED
Manifoldโs first large-scale social experiment & art project
A test of patience. A battle of routine. A war of attrition.
Join the experiment. Win the prize.
๐ฐ 12,000+ mana up for grabs -- and the prize pool is growing!
WHAT IS FOLDED?
FOLDED is a minimalist game with a single rule:
๐ Check in once per day. Or be eliminated.
It sounds simple, but thereโs a catch - it wonโt stay that way.
๐๏ธ DAILY CHECK-IN
You must visit the check-in page once per day before midnight UTC.
Miss a day? Youโre out. No second chances.
โ ELIMINATION
Players who donโt check in are instantly eliminated.
Each day, the pool gets smaller. The tension rises.
๐ธ ENTRY FEE
To enter, send 2,000 mana to the prize pool via Managram.
Think of it as your ticket to the endurance games.
๐ WINNER TAKES ALL
The last player standing takes everything.
Every mana from every eliminated player goes to the final survivor.
๐ DIFFICULTY
It will become harder to check in over time.
The interface may evolve. The rules might twist.
Stay alert. Adapt. Survive.
HOW TO JOIN
Step 1: Pay your entry fee
Managram 2,000 mana:
๐ https://manifold.markets/Bandors?tab=payments&a=2000
Step 2: Make your FOLDED account
No email required. Just your manafold username.
๐ https://folded-three.vercel.app/
Is this a game? An art piece? A psychological experiment?
Yes.
Doesn't knowing precisely how the game works and how it's going to change give you an advantage? I hadn't noticed that you were on the players list. It also means that if the site experiences downtime that requires work from you, the site coming back will be perfectly synced with your availability.
EXPERIMENT BEGINS IN: 0d 8h 52m 2s
LAST CHANCE TO ENTER.
Can you beat these players to win 48,000 mana!
@Bandors Iโm thinking about screen recording my attempts on the first few days. How long after midnight UTC would you consider a respectful amount of time before posting the dayโs recording?
@LoganTurner you can post anytime, that's fine. If I do a riddle or something maybe delay then.
@snazzlePop Intriguing, but I'll have to pass. I'm still busy with real Tontine, to say nothing of life things. Thanks for thinking of me though!
If this were starting in two months from now, then Iโd participate.
Itโd be fun to have a โRound 2โ competition with my former Manifold Ironman rivals @koadma and @jim.
Alas, I have several overnight camping / backpacking trips planned over the next six weeks or so, and Iโd rather sit this out than predictably lose so early into the competition due to my pre-existing plans in the wilderness (where my internet service is spotty at best).
Related market that lasted almost exactly a year:
I've submitted my entrance fee. Place your bets! https://manifold.markets/SimonWestlake/will-i-win-the-folded-grand-prize-LytII25RnS?r=U2ltb25XZXN0bGFrZQ
@snazzlePop Yeah, but I'm also pretty busy these days, and therefore I don't expect to stay in for long. The experiment seemed fun though, so I joined. We can have our rematch some other time :D
LESS THAN 24 HOURS TO JOIN
EXPERIMENT BEGINS IN: 0d 21h 28m 16s
@Kraalnaxx account marked as paid
@evan Earlier I deleted accounts not marked as paid, I think yours got deleted then. Go ahead and register again and I'll mark you as paid.
@Kraalnaxx okay I might have forgot to mark you as paid. Waking up, let me get some coffee in me
Bet on my success here https://manifold.markets/retr0id/will-i-win-the-folded-grand-prize (think of it as buying a share of my entry fee)
@121 added check to prevent dupe usernames. doesn't really matter... the registration is closing when it goes live. Not sure how much dev work I want to put into people doing a little trolling before the event begins. I could add a captcha but like what's the point when registration is ending in a couple days. For now I just deleted accounts that are not yet marked as paid. Working on a anticheat for the main event for now...
@Kraalnaxx Also, I am pushing some updates right now so things might get weird for a minute. Trying to polish it all up before the experiment really starts.
Iโm already on level 4 and I donโt think anyone has made it past level 2 yet, unless their avatars arenโt showing up
Will the prize pool reach 100k mana?
https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-the-price-pool-for-folded-reac
Do players need to check in on a device with a hardware keyboard? Any plan to support mobile browsers?
@LoganTurner Phones are not supported, I hate mobile users, they ruined the internet. Google forced websites to have good mobile support for better SEO. This killed historic platforms such as forums, as forums are for long form discussion and inherently bad for the new SEO algos.
tl;dr mobile users are cancer on the web
@Bandors Might be worth tweaking the description to something like,
You must visit the check-in page on a desktop browser once per day before midnight UTC.
So you donโt get a bunch of refund requests
@LoganTurner The website is linked in the post. People can try it out before paying. Technically mobile users can still participate, I am just not catering special controls to them to make it easier for mobile users.
@Bandors That's actually what I did, and I was still confused: I visited the page on my phone, signed up, and part of the not-confirmed message was cut off. The player character was totally off-screen, so I wasn't even sure if I was missing something. That's why I ended up asking you about it.
@Bandors how many have joined already, and what happens when you receive more than 30.000 mana, is that just profit for the game master?
@TheWabiSabi I am adding all new entries to the prize pool. I am crunching numbers and calculating the new prize pool now, we had a few people join!
@Bandors In your opinion, if I launched Nash Pit Episode 2's Contestant pool markets now, would that be helpful or hurtful to this game show?
I can't tell if simultaneous game shows running in parallel world synergize or compete with each other.
@Bandors I'm guessing you don't intend to drag this out for months, right? This seems MSCHF Tontine inspired, but do you think this will finish off in a month?
@Bandors Got it! I have the Nash Pit Ep 2 Contestant selection market saved in my market drafts and ready to post at any time.
I've been holding off on posting it because I've had some life events to keep up with, so I wanted to ensure I could properly run the game show around my new life.
I propose to form a team of 5-10 individuals using a shared account, with entry fee divided accordingly among the participants. This allows for broader participation and I believe will have some other benefits as well. Please message me if interested in joining my team for more details. EDIT: Teams are not allowed apparently.
Alternate idea: sub-pools. Players can team up and share the winnings based on a mutual agreement.
@jim been thinking about coming out of retirement for it but feeling reluctant.
My life is busier now since the Ironman Championship, and I spend less time on Manifold.
Six players so far, and a 22,000 mana prize pool! Come get your spot for this event! Now with 200% more website security
I am offering bootleg account activations. Only 20 mana each. Please don't ask any questions. All sales are final.
I thought my RLS was decent
had old RLS, try now...
It just had old RLS
I'm sure you're referring to something else but this is the only thing that comes up in the entire page 1 of search results if I web search it lol
โ ๏ธTrade offerโ ๏ธ
You receive: 60 mana (instead of 2000 mana)
I receive: (60/2000)*100 = 3% of the prize if I win (rather than 100%)
@TheAllMemeingEye I would offer you 1940 mana in exchange for 97% of the prize if you win, but I think a buy-in of only 60 mana is not enough to motivate you to win
@retr0id a very intriguing offer! I suppose it could work like us pooling the mana for the ticket and dividing the winnings accordingly, with me playing on our collective behalf. I'm mainly proposing 60 mana because that's approximately the most I emotively feel comfortable having a high probability of losing.
@TheAllMemeingEye It is a +EV proposition for the both of us if we think you have a higher-than-average chance of winning vs the other contestants. And I think that's unlikely if you have less at stake vs other contestants - but I could be convinced otherwise!
@retr0id hmmm, I have pretty long streaks on here and Duolingo
but at the same time I don't have much experience with puzzle games.
Would you be open to being the player instead under a similar-ish mana split? (not sure if it benefits you for me to be contributing/taking more or less)
If you get stuck on a puzzle you can message me and I'll try to help you solve it at some point that day.
@TheAllMemeingEye could you be convinced to go up to M100? If you were and @retr0id were also interested, I'd be happy to go halves in helping sponsor your run
I.e. an entry fee split of 100:950:950 (and proportionate winnings split)
Also open to other proposals (and ofc you're also more than welcome to ignore my proposal)
@Nat would you also be willing to help brainstorm puzzle solutions if I get stuck?
@Bandors is the later proposal for achieving a similar end via pooling the cost with other users also forbidden?
@TheAllMemeingEye Trying to keep it simple. 2k mana = one ticket, ticket given to the user who sends the mana. If you make a deal between each other, that's between you two.
@TheAllMemeingEye can't guarantee I'd always be able to respond in a prompt enough manner to be helpful (most weekdays would be unavailable outside of roughly 02:00-10:00 UTC) but yeah if I'm free I'm absolutely happy to help (and I have been known to enjoy a good puzzle or two ๐)
@Nat @retr0id ok although right now I'm focussing on this market ( /TheAllMemeingEye/will-i-successfully-respond-to-all ), fortunately we have 5d until the game starts, so tomorrow probably I'll request your contributions to the ticket and enter, if you're up for it still
@TheAllMemeingEye FWIW, if @retr0id is not interested in my proposal, I'd also be happy to simply cover the remaining 1900 mana for your entry myself (i.e. an entry fee split of 100:1900, and proportionate winnings)
@Nat My apologies, I think I have to decline, I am struggling to stay on top of tasks, such that I don't think I would be able to effectively compete, but best of luck if you still want to enter yourself
@TheAllMemeingEye that's perfectly fair and very understandable, I've been hesitant to enter myself for precisely the same reason haha
Best of luck getting on top of things though!
@100Anonymous Managram me the 300 and then sign up, and I'll mark your account as paid and add the remaining 1700 to the prize pool.