Join the first Manifold daily login Ironman competition!

Rules:

• Stay in the competition by trading on your own answer once a day.

• Any competitor who fails to place a bet for 36 consecutive hours is eliminated from the game. Bot bets and bets placed with an API do not count.

• I will occasionally request a required bet amount (1-3 Mana) to prevent competitors from using bot bets. (all candidates will be pinged, so you wont miss the announcement when you place a bet)
  

The person who manages to stay in the game the longest wins the 30000 Mana prize. The second-place winner receives a 7000 Mana consolation prize, and the third-place winner receives a 3000 Mana consolation prize.


Note: It is totally fine for a candidate to bet 1 mana and then sell the shares immediately, that would count as the daily trade.

Note: The elimination rule remains even if there is an outage on Manifold. Contestants are responsible for figuring out how to bet ASAP after an outage. If Manifold goes on a 36 consecutive hour outage and all contestants are eliminated due to the outage, the contestant with the latest bet are eliminated last therefore wins the game.

The Ironman officially started on Monday Mar 4th, 2024

Edit: total prize pool adjusted to 40000 Mana in response to the pivot devaluing Mana. I cannot foresee all the possible changes to mana to USD conversion rate in the future, in any case the prize will correspond to 40USD of value.