On which days will a player be eliminated from FOLDED?
6
1.1kṀ412in 8 hours
11%
Day 2 (21 July 2025)
13%
Day 3 (22 July 2025)
24%
Day 4 (23 July 2025)
41%
Day 5 (24 July 2025)
50%
Day 6 (25 July 2025)
50%
Day 7 (26 July 2025)
50%
Day 8 (27 July 2025)
50%
Day 9 (28 July 2025)
50%
Day 10 (29 July 2025)
50%
Day 11 (30 July 2025)
50%
Day 12 (31 July 2025)
50%
Day 13 (1 August 2025)
50%
Day 14 (2 August 2025)
50%
Day 15 (3 August 2025)
50%
Day 16 (4 August 2025)
50%
Day 17 (5 August 2025)
40%
Day 18 (6 August 2025)
50%
Day 19 (7 August 2025)
30%
Day 20 (8 August 2025)
50%
Day 21 (9 August 2025)
For each option:
Resolves YES if at least one player fails to advance from the listed day of FOLDED. If no one is eliminated that day, resolves NO. If FOLDED ends before the listed day, it also resolves NO.
I will periodically add days to this market if the experiment continues for long enough.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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