@mods Day 66 and 76 resolve YES, the other days from 64 to 75 resolve NO.

@mods Can we get NO resolutions through September 20?

Same for these markets:

https://manifold.markets/evan/when-will-folded-end?r=U2ltb25XZXN0bGFrZQ

https://manifold.markets/evan/when-will-the-folded-surviving-play?r=U2ltb25XZXN0bGFrZQ

https://manifold.markets/evan/when-will-the-folded-surviving-play-NcZdpts5Oq?r=U2ltb25XZXN0bGFrZQ

@SimonWestlake people should bet these down to 1%! (if ppl don't have the balance, can always ask for a loan).

~weekly resolutions is probably fine but it's a bit tedious so can't guarantee mods will always get to it, but can always ping i suppose

Was Evan banned?

@Willfc609 Yes, he got a 1-week ban for making markets in a way that was worse in all ways except doubling his mana bonuses, and he responded by breaking the site. The admins had to roll back the database.

@Ziddletwix Thank you!

@SimonWestlake I'm kind of impressed he was able to do that 😂

@mods no one was eliminated today. Evan had other FOLDED markets that close daily as well (there's a dashboard)

@SimonWestlake what do you suggest (as I do not think mods will want to close & reopen this daily). perhaps just set the close date to be far enough out, people can trade freely, & then do a batch of resolves later once folded ends? or what would be best?

@Ziddletwix Definitely valid.

Most of the markets only need resolution when something happens, and we can just ping the mods for resolution as-needed. The close dates can be set arbitrarily far out for those.

That leaves these three markets:
https://manifold.markets/evan/on-which-days-will-a-player-be-elim
https://manifold.markets/evan/when-will-folded-end
https://manifold.markets/evan/when-will-the-folded-surviving-play

https://manifold.markets/evan/when-will-the-folded-surviving-play-NcZdpts5Oq

The first two should close on December 31st, and the third should close on October 31st. Regular resolution of past options is very helpful on these. Would the mods be willing to do weekly resolutions of expired options on them?

As a side note, I'd love to be the one to take over making new FOLDED markets once that becomes needed again, but I'm pretty strongly disincentivized from doing so as long as my own markets don't count towards league results. Last month, my net league profit was 3,463, and 1,421 of that was from FOLDED markets. I'd have gotten 10th place instead of 4th without the FOLDED profit.

When will the FOLDED surviving player count reach 4?

When the first day of FOLDED begins with four or fewer players remaining, each option resolves YES if that day of FOLDED was on or before the option's listed date in UTC. If FOLDED continues to have more than four players past the listed date, the option will resolve NO. The host does not count as a player. I will periodically add days to this market if the no one gets eliminated for long enough. As of September 12, 2025, there are 7 players remaining.

@Ziddletwix Note that I've heavily edited my previous comment, you should refresh the page if you were already reading it

@SimonWestlake oops didn't see these before, adjusted close dates (although having htem open too long isn't much of an issue anyways).

As a side note, I'd love to be the one to take over making new FOLDED markets once that becomes needed again, but I'm pretty strongly disincentivized from doing so as long as my own markets don't count towards league results.

I agree but FWIW this is supposed to change next month, as per the latest announcement.

@koadma

@SimonWestlake lol i was just pasting my screenshot :D

@Kraalnaxx Well this was ironic :(

@SimonWestlake Want to talk in DMs?

what if someone on a day gets eliminated but voted back in???

@evan

@121 Hmm, I'm not sure. Will think about this

@121 I'm counting it.

@evan I think that's the right call since you literally couldn't check in for a day

@evan Everyone has checked in today

@SimonWestlake unfortunate, another day wasted without any progress

no one will be eliminated if the difficulty is not ramped up.

@evan Everyone's checked in today (except for Bandors who has never checked in and isn't a real player).