🏅 Top traders

Woah congrats

Should I just put everything on red at the daily coinflip and if I lose I quit Manifold

@Vesperstelo

"put everything on red at the daily coinflip": yes

"if I lose I quit Manifold": no

Wait

Highest skill based profit.

I didn’t read the rules carefully and bought 5000 mana for NO, I’m cooked

@Vesperstelo tung tung tung sahur

bro this resolves yes because 16000/48000>=30%

@121 correct, +16000 was my nominal share of the prize pool per https://manifold.markets/Quroe/the-folded-accords-season-1

Note: https://manifold.markets/Quroe/the-folded-accords-season-1

@retr0id why is this not resolve yes

@retr0id

dagonet is a hater

now there are only 5 players left I think this is a little undervalued

@retr0id 1/5=20%

@retr0id Yes, but normal people assume you have a 20% chance of winning. I am your only believer 😆

@retr0id now 4

@retr0id now 3

https://manifold.markets/evan/who-will-win-folded arbitrage

Who will win FOLDED?

Resolves to the user who wins FOLDED. The winner resolves YES and the losers resolve NO. If multiple users win, all winning options will resolve YES. If no one wins, (game is cancelled, etc.) all options resolve NO. Players who are eliminated will resolve NO as they are removed from the game.

@121 different resolution criteria

free mana! thanks

Rationally I should be betting more on NO (for aforementioned hedging reasons), but I believe in myself too much

I'm glad you posted this, I had no idea this was a thing!

Here's my version: https://manifold.markets/SimonWestlake/will-i-win-the-folded-grand-prize-LytII25RnS?r=U2ltb25XZXN0bGFrZQ

bets no
/s

lol, good luck!