When will FOLDED end?
7
1.1kṀ1390
in 16 hours
3%
Day 2 or earlier (21 July 2025)
6%
Day 3 or earlier (22 July 2025)
9%
Day 4 or earlier (23 July 2025)
14%
Day 5 or earlier (24 July 2025)
17%
Day 6 or earlier (25 July 2025)
17%
Day 7 or earlier (26 July 2025)
17%
Day 8 or earlier (27 July 2025)
24%
Day 9 or earlier (28 July 2025)
24%
Day 10 or earlier (29 July 2025)
24%
Day 11 or earlier (30 July 2025)
24%
Day 12 or earlier (31 July 2025)
24%
Day 13 or earlier (1 August 2025)
24%
Day 14 or earlier (2 August 2025)
24%
Day 15 or earlier (3 August 2025)
24%
Day 16 or earlier (4 August 2025)
24%
Day 17 or earlier (5 August 2025)
19%
Day 18 or earlier (6 August 2025)
22%
Day 19 or earlier (7 August 2025)
19%
Day 20 or earlier (8 August 2025)
24%
Day 21 or earlier (9 August 2025)

When FOLDED ends, each option resolves YES if the final day of FOLDED (the last date more than one player advanced to without being eliminated) was on or before the listed date in UTC.

If FOLDED continues past the listed date, the option will resolve NO.

I will periodically add days to this market if the experiment continues for long enough.

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