When will FOLDED end?
36
4.1kṀ31k
Jan 1
1%
Day 77 or earlier (4 October 2025)
1%
Day 78 or earlier (5 October 2025)
1%
Day 79 or earlier (6 October 2025)
1%
Day 80 or earlier (7 October 2025)
1%
Day 81 or earlier (8 October 2025)
1%
Day 82 or earlier (9 October 2025)
1.3%
Day 83 or earlier (10 October 2025)
6%
Day 84 or earlier (11 October 2025)
7%
Day 85 or earlier (12 October 2025)
7%
Day 86 or earlier (13 October 2025)
8%
Day 87 or earlier (14 October 2025)
10%
Day 88 or earlier (15 October 2025)
14%
Day 89 or earlier (16 October 2025)
18%
Day 90 or earlier (17 October 2025)
22%
Day 91 or earlier (18 October 2025)
29%
Day 92 or earlier (19 October 2025)
29%
Day 93 or earlier (20 October 2025)
28%
Day 94 or earlier (21 October 2025)
34%
Day 95 or earlier (22 October 2025)
42%
Day 96 or earlier (23 October 2025)

When FOLDED ends, each option resolves YES if the final day of FOLDED (the last date more than one player advanced to without being eliminated) was on or before the listed date in UTC.

If FOLDED continues past the listed date, the option will resolve NO.

I will periodically add days to this market if the experiment continues for long enough.

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bought Ṁ6 NO

@mods Day 76 and earlier resolve NO

@evan After the options here run their course, would you be willing to make a new numeric market type with range buckets? It might be easier for traders to take positions without sitting on the trade screen for 10 minutes to lock in all of their positions.

@Quroe Yes.

filled a Ṁ42 NO at 4% order

@evan Is the close date of this market the one you intend?

@Quroe I'll have it close at the end of every day of FOLDED, the notification will remind me to resolve these each day

@evan resolutions being late by a few days is less of an inconvenience than trading being down for a few minutes or hours imo.

and it pollutes traders' 'closing soon' search results with markets that aren't actually closing soon

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