When will FOLDED end?
29
2.6kṀ15k
Aug 31
1%
Day 42 or earlier (30 August 2025)
2%
Day 43 or earlier (31 August 2025)
3%
Day 44 or earlier (1 September 2025)
5%
Day 45 or earlier (2 September 2025)
7%
Day 46 or earlier (3 September 2025)
8%
Day 47 or earlier (4 September 2025)
9%
Day 48 or earlier (5 September 2025)
12%
Day 49 or earlier (6 September 2025)
13%
Day 50 or earlier (7 September 2025)
14%
Day 51 or earlier (8 September 2025)
15%
Day 52 or earlier (9 September 2025)
15%
Day 53 or earlier (10 September 2025)
15%
Day 54 or earlier (11 September 2025)
17%
Day 55 or earlier (12 September 2025)
18%
Day 56 or earlier (13 September 2025)
19%
Day 57 or earlier (14 September 2025)
22%
Day 58 or earlier (15 September 2025)
24%
Day 59 or earlier (16 September 2025)
27%
Day 60 or earlier (17 September 2025)
32%
Day 61 or earlier (18 September 2025)

When FOLDED ends, each option resolves YES if the final day of FOLDED (the last date more than one player advanced to without being eliminated) was on or before the listed date in UTC.

If FOLDED continues past the listed date, the option will resolve NO.

I will periodically add days to this market if the experiment continues for long enough.

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filled a Ṁ42 NO at 4% order

@evan Is the close date of this market the one you intend?

@Quroe I'll have it close at the end of every day of FOLDED, the notification will remind me to resolve these each day

@evan resolutions being late by a few days is less of an inconvenience than trading being down for a few minutes or hours imo.

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