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Ṁ250
Will Manifold solve my math problem?
99% chance
Ṁ500
Ṁ100
Ṁ1k
Ṁ100
Claude Sonnet 5 released this week?
75% chance
Ṁ100
Ṁ250
Ṁ10k
30%
Jonathan Ross is charged by Minnesota authorities
15%
A third civilian is killed by DHS
10%
Walz and/or Frey are indicted by the DOJ
7%
A DHS agent is killed
55%
R President, R Senate, D House
37%
R Pres, D Senate, D House
8%
R President, R Senate, R House - Republican Trifecta
0.4%
R President, D Senate, R House