This market resolves yes if the David Pakman Show YouTube channel has more views in February than in January according to this 

 if Donald Trump either passes away or becomes so ill that he is officially unable to continue in his role, leading to someone else taking over his responsibilities.

Artificial Intelligence (Including ChatGPT or any other variation)

This question resolves to the TIME 2025 Person of The Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers. 

If you would like to add a new candidate or consolidated answer to the market, submit them in a comment below. If a comment gets enough support, I'll open the market to submissions so that you can add it and you'll get the unique trader bonuses. 

Note that all consolidated answers must be mutually exclusive, so no more specific or general versions of existing options. The goal is to cleanly divide the probabilistic landscape into non-overlapping categories. 

If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.

How many ticketed attendees will attend Slutcon, occurring Oct 10-12?

, non-earlybird tickets are 1k, 3k, and 9k depending on tier.

We currently have 39 tickets purchased, as of 8/29. 

I so far have advertised multiple times on my main twitter, and made a single post on my reddit (468k followers) and fetlife (279k). 

I currently plan on posting more about it on more of my platforms (including instagram (~50k) and tiktok (~170k), and substack (~128k). 

Also am coordinating with a guy who works in a similar field to help advertise to some of his clients (small pool but high conversion promise). 

Still looking to source higher-profile presenters, but who knows?

Final number for resolution will not count volunteers, staff, performers, or presenters. We'll base it off names counted at checkin. We are not including partygoers for After Dark.

Market will resolve to YES if 44.2% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated September 1st, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: 

https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

MrBeast is raising $40M to provide 2 million people with clean water for decades.

The primary resolution source will be the 

Resolves YES if it turns out that trump was dead as of 

I'm thinking of a specific real person or fictional character. Let's see if you can guess who it is!

 for other ongoing and past iterations of this kind of market, including a list of the answers to my previous rounds.

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2025 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Sunday, August 31, 2025, at the Zandvoort circuit. The official race results published on the 

 will determine the outcome. If none of the listed drivers win, the market will resolve to "Other."

US price for the digital version of the game available to the general public on Nintendo Switch in USD on September 4 with no deals or discounts applied.  Uses the advertised price, so e.g. local sales tax is ignored.

If the game is not available on Switch on September 4, resolves based on the first day it is available.