This market resolves yes if the David Pakman Show YouTube channel has more views in February than in January according to this 

Resolves to my opinion 1 week after my trip. Suggestions are welcome. Will not bet besides setting initial odds based on my pre trip guesses 

https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of

Resolves Yes, if Gavin Newsom is not the candidate with the best odds per the Democratic Nominee 2028 market below for 10 consecutive days.

$1,247,208,678 has traded on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" as of July 25, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Marke...

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Should be a top 20 math problem of its math subfield, so nothing crazy but a couple people care a fair bit about it. 

I am just starting a project to see how doable this is at scale, may drop it if it doesn’t go anywhere. Tips welcome.

By ‘solve’ I mean AI is very confident that the solution is correct. A mathematician needn’t sign off on it. If you think my AI ends up wrong about a solution I’d be happy to bet on it.

Tracks the 14-day rolling average of Donald Trump's approval rating from VoteHub polls. 

Click perpetual in the title for more info.

Resolves YES if the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) designates any Atlantic-basin tropical cyclone as a 

 (maximum sustained winds >= 74 mph / Category 1 or higher) at any point on or before 

Resolves NO if no Atlantic tropical cyclone reaches hurricane strength on or before that time.

Source (in order): NHC public advisories / Tropical Cyclone Reports (nhc.noaa.gov). Resolve within 48 hours of the qualifying advisory, or of the August 20 deadline passing with no hurricane.

Tracks BTC/USD spot using the median price across Coinbase, Kraken, and Bitstamp. 

 disclosing that one of their unreleased models hacked Huggingface, OpenAI said, 

We are conducting a thorough review along with external advisors and with oversight from the Safety and Security Committee. Once the review is complete, we will publish a technical report of our learnings in the coming weeks.

When will this technical report be released?