This market resolves yes if the David Pakman Show YouTube channel has more views in February than in January according to this 

In my relationships survey (n=57k), i ask

duestion: Do you practice a traditional religion? 

tip: Such as Christianity, Judaism, Islam, etc., and 

"On average, over the last six months, about how often do you and your partner have sex?"

The question is: Among people who report being in relationships 5 years or more, which group will have higher sex frequency: people who said "no" to the religion question, or people who said "Yes" or "Devoutly/heavily"?

Idk exactly the threshold I'd use to say it's 'equal', and I don't feel like figuring out an exact number to give right now. My usual threshold for correlations being worth reporting is r=.12 (tho i might not use this to measure the relationship idk).

I haven't looked at the results yet and don't know the answer myself. I might bet in this market but will stop betting once I look at the results.

I will do basic controls for stuff like age, gender, and whether or not people have kids. If there's any other very basic, obvious stuff to control for I haven't thought of, then I will include that too. 

, and is eligible to run again in 2025, but appears likely to face 

This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins NYC's mayoral election in 2025, and NO to everyone else.

Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?

after their respective elections in November 2025. All three must occur; otherwise resolves no.

Source is consensus of credible reporting. The NY and VA elections will be held on November 4th, and NJ on November 5th 2025. 

https://www.maximumtruth.org/p/deep-dive-ai-progress-continues-as

Vision mode. Must get a perfect score on 3 consecutive tests, as displayed by 

. (Open to tweaking if the website changes its display or testing procedure.)

https://polymarket.com/event/zohran-mamdani-margin-of-victory-in-2025-new-york-city-mayoral-election

Will trump issue an endorsement in the NYC Mayor race? Vague positive or negative statements don't count, I'll subjectively decide if it's an endorsement or not and will not participate in this market. 

If he endorses two candidates I'll resolve to whichever one is more official sounding, like explicitly using the word endorsement or a press release over an offhand comment. 

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/06/nyregion/trump-nyc-mayor-cuomo-adams-mamdani.html

Minimum to count as military conflict: either a combined 10 people die as part of action by either military OR a confirmed airstrike on Venezuelan soil (doesn't have to be on military targets).

This market will resolve to the option that identifies the time in which market-resolving criteria were met for this market:

https://polymarket.com/event/will-polymarket-us-go-live-in-2025?tid=1755790278887