This market resolves yes if the David Pakman Show YouTube channel has more views in February than in January according to this 

Resolves Yes if Trump does not win Nobel Peace Prize 2025 and openly criticizes the Nobel committee for not awarding the prize to him before this market closes.

there is nothing special about the crane other than i folded it myself

resolves once i confirm payment and ship the crane

How many ticketed attendees will attend Slutcon, occurring Oct 10-12?

, non-earlybird tickets are 1k, 3k, and 9k depending on tier.

We currently have 39 tickets purchased, as of 8/29. 

I so far have advertised multiple times on my main twitter, and made a single post on my reddit (468k followers) and fetlife (279k). 

I currently plan on posting more about it on more of my platforms (including instagram (~50k) and tiktok (~170k), and substack (~128k). 

Also am coordinating with a guy who works in a similar field to help advertise to some of his clients (small pool but high conversion promise). 

Still looking to source higher-profile presenters, but who knows?

Final number for resolution will not count volunteers, staff, performers, or presenters. We'll base it off names counted at checkin. We are not including partygoers for After Dark.

Insider trading (leaked information from Nobel Committee)

Market manipulation scheme (for-profit motives)

Activism to raise profile of her and her cause

María Corina Machado is a prominent Venezuelan opposition leader, known for her advocacy of democracy and human rights in Venezuela and her strong opposition to the government of Nicolás Maduro. Machado has been nominated for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize by various groups. 

Fewer than 24 hours prior to the announcement of the Prize, she surged on the prediction markets

This market will resolve to the answer option that—at market close, 31 Dec 2025—is most convincingly substantiated by credible, publicly available evidence as the primary reason for the significant surge in María Corina Machado's odds in Nobel Peace Prize prediction markets. 

Only one option can resolve "Yes." If no single option is overwhelmingly supported by evidence as the primary cause, the market will resolve to "Unclear."

Given the high likelihood of a judgment call being needed to resolve, I will 

Following October 7 events, there are currently 101 Israeli hostages in Gaza strip.

This question resolve YES if at the end of 2025, the Wikipedia page of Israel Hamas Hostage Crisis, say that there is at least one Israeli hostage in Gaza that were abducted in oct 7 (not including the 4 abducted earlier).

Otherwise, this question will resolve as NO.

If there are overwelming evidence (according to global media) that all the hostages are dead, this will also resolve as no.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel%E2%80%93Hamas_war_hostage_crisis#:~:text=Holding%20hostages%3A&text=72%20hostages%20were%20reportedly%20killed,other%20four%20hostages%20captured%20earlier

, and is eligible to run again in 2025, but appears likely to face 

This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins NYC's mayoral election in 2025, and NO to everyone else.

Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?

Eagles beat Giants (10/09) 8:15 PM (Prime Video)

Broncos beat Jets (London) (10/12) 9:30 AM (NFL Network)

Cowboys beat Panthers (10/12) 1:00 PM (FOX)

Cardinals beat Colts (10/12) 1:00 PM (FOX)

Seahawks beat Jaguars (10/12) 1:00 PM (FOX)

Chargers beat Dolphins (10/12) 1:00 PM (CBS)

Browns beat Steelers (10/12) 1:00 PM (CBS)

49ers beat Buccaneers (10/12) 1:00 PM (CBS)

Titans beat Raiders (10/12) 4:05 PM (FOX)

Bengals beat Packers (10/12) 4:25 PM (CBS)

Patriots beat Saints (10/12) 4:25 PM (CBS)

Bills beat Falcons (10/13) 7:15 PM (ESPN)

Bears beat Commanders (10/13) 8:15 PM (ABC)

Get ready for an exhilarating season of football!

 (⭐4.96) for lightning-fast market resolutions and surprise market liquidity boosts all year long. Don't miss out—join the excitement today!

If the ratio is exactly between each bucket, resolves to the higher bucket

The formula will be Price of two cranes divided by Price of one crane