This market resolves yes if the David Pakman Show YouTube channel has more views in February than in January according to this 

Artificial Intelligence (Including ChatGPT or any other variation)

Prediction Markets [including any founder/s or platform/s by name]

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

This question resolves to the TIME 2025 Person of The Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers. 

If you would like to add a new candidate or consolidated answer to the market, submit them in a comment below. If a comment gets enough support, I'll open the market to submissions so that you can add it and you'll get the unique trader bonuses. 

Note that all consolidated answers must be mutually exclusive, so no more specific or general versions of existing options. The goal is to cleanly divide the probabilistic landscape into non-overlapping categories. 

If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.

 holds a vote for who they believe deserves the title of "antisemite of the year". Candidates for the final vote in 2024 were Candace Owens, Greta Thunberg and Hasan Piker, and Candace Owens was the winner.

If no winner is selected for 2025 this market resolves N/A.

This market resolves YES if Valve themselves confirm half life 3 is in development before January 1st 2026.

The EXACT STRING of the MAIN Time Person of the Year (POTY) headline.

We ignore spacing and newlines. GenZ and Gen Z are the same headline, but they are different from genz (capitalization) or Generation Z. 

Minimum to count as military conflict: either a combined 10 people die as part of action by either military OR a confirmed airstrike on Venezuelan soil (doesn't have to be on military targets).

Guess my favorite beverage.  At resolution, I will chose my favorite beverage from the list of available options (i.e., it might not actually be my favorite beverage of all beverages, just my favorite one among the list).  As a result, I will not resolve to "Other".

I might or might not answer questions you ask.  If I provided an answer, the answer will be truthful to my best knowledge. 

The current list of options is generated quickly with AI.

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

MVP Favorite Changes (from Matthew Stafford)

Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*

A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

A 1pm EST game is still going when a 4:25pm EST game starts

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

Player wearing a Guardian Cap scores a touchdown during a Thanksgiving day game

Pylon knocked over for a successful touchdown on Monday Night Football

Add your own props! Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after this Week's game slate completes!

Avoiding unethically-derived animal products is extremely difficult, there's 

 you wouldn't expect. I'm sure I've missed a bunch of things in my everyday life since I just don't have time to check them all.

Ok, it doesn't solve the whole problem. It only covers mammal products, so it won't hit insects, which are the largest source of suffering. Still, it would help.

Unfortunately milk comes from mammals, so I would have to transition from lactovegan to full vegan, and deal with the health impacts of that. This poses an additional problem for me because I'm an extremely picky eater, and the only non-snack foods I've found that I'm comfortable eating on a daily basis and are reasonably healthy include cheese.

Still it's tempting. I probably won't do it for as long as I'm bound to cheese to survive, but if I can find a vegan diet I actually like, I'd kinda want to try it.

It's incurable though, hence this market.

The special election will be held on December 2, 2025. The winner will be determined by plurality vote. Resolution will be based on official results from the Tennessee Secretary of State (

https://sos.tn.gov/elections/services/special-election-information

The seat became vacant on July 20, 2025, following the resignation of Republican Mark Green. Primary elections took place on October 7, where Republican Matt Van Epps and Democrat Aftyn Behn won their respective primaries.

Van Epps is an Army veteran-turned-businessman who most recently served as a member of Governor Bill Lee's cabinet. Van Epps holds endorsements from Gov. Bill Lee, former Rep. Mark Green, and President Donald Trump. Behn is a social worker who was recently elected to the Tennessee Legislature representing parts of Nashville.

The 7th district is rated a solid Republican seat; Green won the seat by 20 percentage points in the two elections since it was redrawn to include parts of Nashville. However, the 7th congressional district includes parts of Nashville that are heavily Democratic, such as downtown, two universities, Belmont and Vanderbilt, and most of the city's majority-black precincts. Democrats cast 31,000 ballots in the recent Democratic primary, compared to Republicans' 36,000 in a hotly contested race, suggesting potentially higher Democratic turnout than typical for the district.

Resolves YES if Jensen Huang is POTY or part of a POTY group

Resolves NO if Pope Leo is POTY or part of a POTY group

Resolves N/A otherwise (or if both of the above requirements are triggered, eg the POTY group is "humans" or "tech entrepreneurs and religious figures" lol)