@phenomist Interested?

@xjp it looks like they announced 250,000 people signed up. Rough estimate, something like 95 to 98% of those people will have no idea at all what they're doing. Consider considering winning is limited to just North Americans.... maybe between 10,000 and 100,000 people are familiar enough with this type of game to have a chance? Assuming it is as straightforward as that advertisement promised. Which it might not be.

My guess would be there are probably 1000 to 5000 people who have been following along and could reasonably win. How many of them do you think are on this site?

I am on a team which I believe could plausibly win. (We have consistently outpaced the Team Omega public doc) If I had to guess, there are probably between 2-10 other possible teams in contention, but this is mostly based on vibes.

It's pretty involved and at times mindleapy, I don't think a group of under, say, 10 people (and they'd have to be really dedicated puzzlehunters/argers) could win

One other thing is that a bunch of puzzlehunters aren't very interested in the mrbeast branding and likely vice versa

what is the basis of keeping the market at like 3% lol

Here's some marginal incentive to get Manifold on the front page of the news.