The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Supreme Leader, not who is elected or nominated. Acting/Interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office.
If position abolished, resolves position abolished.
Resolves based on credible media reporting and official Iran sources..
Resolves same as:
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextiranleader/who-will-be-khameneis-successor/kxnextiranleader-45jan01
N/a if Khamenei remains in power and Kalshi resolves all options NO
Update 2026-02-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Interim leaders and position abolishment: If an interim leader is in place and then the position is abolished, the market resolves to position abolished unless the interim leader formally assumed office before abolishment.
People are also trading
@NicBergman I’m going to resolve based on Kalshi. However my interpretation would be resolves abolished unless the interim president formally assumed office before abolishment