[PROP BETS] US-Israel strikes on Iran
12
Ṁ1kṀ1.9kMar 31
98.3%
Iran launches retaliatory missile/drone strikes on Israel within 72 hours
97%
Iran attacks a US military base in the Middle East within 7 days
89%
Any Iranian nuclear facilities are confirmed struck
56%
Crude oil prices exceed $90/barrel within 7 days
51%
Ayatollah Khamenei makes a public address within 48 hours
46%
>= 10 Israeli soldiers are killed
43%
Iran closes or attempts to block the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days
38%
>= 10 American soldiers are killed
30%
The US Congress invokes or debates the War Powers Resolution within 30 days
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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