Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?

1.8kṀ2627

2055

ALL

14%

Artemis III flown with a crewed landing AND China lands a person on the Moon first

38%

Artemis III flown with a crewed landing AND The US returns to the Moon first

19%

Artemis III not flown with a crewed landing AND China lands a person on the Moon first

30%

Artemis III not flown with a crewed landing AND The US returns to the Moon first

This is a "market for markets".

The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets:

Space exploration

Moon

Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing

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All of these questions are interesting but I don't know anything about the subject matter, no idea what to do.

@Eliza if anyone wants to look into it here's a point to start from:

CHINA plans to send two astronauts to the Moon before 2030. The CMSA announced this in May 2023.

The wording is almost-always "before 2030", but in at least one case "2029". Since there's still a lot of development to do it will probably be in 2028 at the very earliest.

AMERICA currently plans to return to the surface of the moon with their Artemis III mission, scheduled to take place in December 2025. However, if the required technology is not ready by the time of the mission, Artemis III may become a lunar orbit mission. In this case, Artemis IV, scheduled to take place in September 2028 at the earliest, would become the mission in which the Americans return to the surface of the Moon.

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