Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions?
4
Ṁ350Ṁ772031
34%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Artemis lands on moon with boots on lunar surface before Chinese human boots on the lunar surface, AND Chinese do not land on lunar surface with human boots within 2 years OR immediately totally shift focus to another solar body for astronaut landings. Resolves NO if Chinese put human boots on the moon before Artemis OR within 2 years of Artemis human lunar landing Chinese replicate the feat. Market will be extended as necessary but resolves once clarity. Sources will be official communications of the relevant national space agencies or eminently reliable reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
37% chance
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Will China land men on the moon before the USA?
41% chance
Will Artemis II crew successfully complete lunar flyby and return to Earth?
99% chance
Will China land someone on the moon on this year?
Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
1% chance
Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon?
50% chance
Which Artemis HLS system will land on the Moon
Will China land an astronaut on Mars before the USA does?
34% chance
The Artemis mission will not take any human being to the moon in 2026
99% chance