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MANIFOLD
Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions?
4
Ṁ350Ṁ77
2031
34%
chance

Resolves YES if Artemis lands on moon with boots on lunar surface before Chinese human boots on the lunar surface, AND Chinese do not land on lunar surface with human boots within 2 years OR immediately totally shift focus to another solar body for astronaut landings. Resolves NO if Chinese put human boots on the moon before Artemis OR within 2 years of Artemis human lunar landing Chinese replicate the feat. Market will be extended as necessary but resolves once clarity. Sources will be official communications of the relevant national space agencies or eminently reliable reporting.

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