Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?

Question

In August 2023, due to delays in the development of Starship, NASA officials expressed an openness to flying Artemis 3 without a crewed landing. In this case, the mission may become a crewed visit to the Lunar Gateway.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artemis_3

Resolves YES if Artemis III is flown and a lunar landing is planned to be attempted as part of the mission

Resolves NO if Artemis III is flown and a lunar landing is not planned to be attempted as part of the mission

Resolves N/A if Artemis III is not flown before 2040

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 2% chance (26 traders, as of Apr 24, 2026).