Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
7
38
Ṁ133Ṁ130
2035
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve YES the mission designated Artemis 3 must involve a human footstep on the moon.
To resolve NO Artemis 3 must be canceled or rescoped to not include a moon landing.
Landing failure resolves NO; any failure after an astronaut walks on the moon resolves YES.
Launch vehicle, landing vehicle, and other details are irrelevant.
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