Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK does?
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Plus
19
Ṁ12k
2029
9%
chance

When and if the actual name of The Startup Party is announced, I will edit this market to reflect that.

For information about The Startup Party, see https://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/4-the-startup-party-time-to-build.

I will use my judgement to identify The Startup Party.

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Just to clarify, that is: they will win more seats than Reform will in the next election? Or more than Reform did in this election? It's probably the latter, but would affect probability quite heavily.

the former

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