If this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?
3
Ṁ125Ṁ242029
70%
Reform
50%
Labour
50%
Liberal Democrats
48%
Conservatives
34%
Green
If a party has the most or second most seats following the next UK general election (currently scheduled for August 2029), resolves YES if they have the most seats, NO if they have the second most seats, and N/A otherwise. If two parties are tied for first or second, both resolve NO.
The attempted purpose of this market is to determine which party one should prefer be in the top-2, if they're a progressive or lower-c conservative and want progressives or conservatives to win regardless of the specific party.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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