[Metaculus] Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada? | Manifold

[Metaculus] Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

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2032

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Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if a HIV-1 vaccine candidate is authorized by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada at any point before January 1, 2032. Any kind of approval, including emergency approval, would count.

For resolution, there will be no requirements on the demonstrated efficacy or safety of the vaccine; approval by any of the 4 government agencies is the sole criterion

This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf. I might resolve this N/A if I find out it's a duplicate of an existing question within three days of market creation.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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