[Metaculus] Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada? | Manifold

[Metaculus] Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Basic

6

Ṁ267

2032

75%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if a HIV-1 vaccine candidate is authorized by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada at any point before January 1, 2032. Any kind of approval, including emergency approval, would count.

For resolution, there will be no requirements on the demonstrated efficacy or safety of the vaccine; approval by any of the 4 government agencies is the sole criterion

This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf. I might resolve this N/A if I find out it's a duplicate of an existing question within three days of market creation.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?

Will development of a universal flu vaccine have made significant progress by 2026?

Will HIV/AIDS be considered a "curable" disease by the end of 2030?

Will the FDA issue an EUA or full approval for an mRNA H5N1 vaccine by 2025?

Will there be an FDA approved cure for AIDS/HIV by EOY 2032?

Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?

HIV Vaccine fully approved by FDA and commercially available before 2035?

Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?

Will any medication be approved for Long Covid/PASC in any Western country before 2026?

[Metaculus] By June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine w/o phase III in response to a public health emergency?

Related questions

Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?

Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?

Will development of a universal flu vaccine have made significant progress by 2026?

HIV Vaccine fully approved by FDA and commercially available before 2035?

Will HIV/AIDS be considered a "curable" disease by the end of 2030?

Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?

Will the FDA issue an EUA or full approval for an mRNA H5N1 vaccine by 2025?

Will any medication be approved for Long Covid/PASC in any Western country before 2026?

Will there be an FDA approved cure for AIDS/HIV by EOY 2032?

[Metaculus] By June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine w/o phase III in response to a public health emergency?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules