Will development of a universal flu vaccine have made significant progress by 2026?
25
134
Ṁ654Ṁ510
2025
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a "universal flu vaccine" has entered phase III trials by the beginning of 2026. See, eg, recent news.
I'm using "universal flu vaccine" colloquially for the purposes of this question--it wouldn't need to target every possible flu strain but might, for example, target certain elements of a virus common to the majority of flu viruses that infect humans.
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will an America die of H5N1 in 2024?
43% chance
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?
39% chance
Will there be a large-scale bird flu outbreak in the US in 2024?
25% chance
Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) by 2026?
46% chance
Will a vaccine for Lyme disease be available to the US public by the end of 2025?
46% chance
Will the prognosis for common cold patients be significantly better in 2035?
48% chance
Will there be a large-scale bird flu outbreak in the US by the end of 2025?
41% chance
Will the FDA issue an EUA or full approval for an mRNA H5N1 vaccine by 2025?
32% chance
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be available by the end of 2032?
72% chance
By 2026, will the majority of the USA flu vaccine supply be egg-free?
55% chance