Will an mRNA HIV vaccine pass Phase 2 trials by 2025 | Manifold

Will an mRNA HIV vaccine pass Phase 2 trials by 2025

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Phase 1 trials are underway: https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news-releases/nih-launches-clinical-trial-three-mrna-hiv-vaccines

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The phase 1 is scheduled to finish mid October 2023 (https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05217641). It is very unlikely that in a year and 2 months they will be able to plan, conduct and publish results for a phase 2 trial.

what do you mean by "pass", as if it would go into Phase 3, that a Phase 2 will be concluded, or that the results of the Phase 2 are positive?

@egroj Positive results. A phase 3 starting would be immediate YES, but I'll accept anything that makes a future phase 3 look likely/promising

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Will an H5N1 mRNA vaccine be developed and enter "late stage" human trials (or wider release) by July 2025?

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