
Will an mRNA HIV vaccine pass Phase 2 trials by 2025
21
Ṁ1kṀ6.1kJan 1
2%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Phase 1 trials are underway: https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news-releases/nih-launches-clinical-trial-three-mrna-hiv-vaccines
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?
74% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?
28% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against AIDS before 2028?
24% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?
47% chance
HIV Vaccine fully approved by FDA and commercially available before 2035?
37% chance
Will HIV/AIDS be considered a "curable" disease by the end of 2030?
50% chance
Will AOH1996 advance past Phase II trials by the end of 2027?
43% chance
Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2030?
67% chance
Will there be an FDA approved cure for AIDS/HIV by EOY 2032?
55% chance
Will HIV be eradicated in humans before 2030?
4% chance
Sort by:
The phase 1 is scheduled to finish mid October 2023 (https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05217641). It is very unlikely that in a year and 2 months they will be able to plan, conduct and publish results for a phase 2 trial.
@egroj Positive results. A phase 3 starting would be immediate YES, but I'll accept anything that makes a future phase 3 look likely/promising
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?
74% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?
28% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against AIDS before 2028?
24% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?
47% chance
HIV Vaccine fully approved by FDA and commercially available before 2035?
37% chance
Will HIV/AIDS be considered a "curable" disease by the end of 2030?
50% chance
Will AOH1996 advance past Phase II trials by the end of 2027?
43% chance
Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2030?
67% chance
Will there be an FDA approved cure for AIDS/HIV by EOY 2032?
55% chance
Will HIV be eradicated in humans before 2030?
4% chance
