Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030? | Manifold

Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?

44

1kṀ4223

2030

76%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves Yes if the FDA approves an HIV vaccine for general use by the end of 2030.

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Is there a promising vaccine in development or scientific breakthrough that makes this likely? (asking about the current high chance)

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