Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?
36
82
Ṁ796Ṁ710
2030
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if the FDA approves an HIV vaccine for general use by the end of 2030.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will HIV/AIDS be considered a "curable" disease by the end of 2030?
27% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?
28% chance
Will the FDA issue an EUA or full approval for an mRNA H5N1 vaccine by 2025?
28% chance
Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?
39% chance
Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?
33% chance
Will a gene therapy that edits multiple genes using CRISPR be approved by the FDA before 2030?
76% chance
Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?
28% chance
Will a drug to be used by most healthy adults be approved by 2043 year end?
63% chance
[Metaculus] Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?
64% chance