Which ETF will go up the most?

Question

Which vanguard ETF will do the best over 10 years (starting 2024)?

I will resolve based off the cumulative 10-yr NAV returns as of 4/30/2034:
eg:

[image]More info:

[image]https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profile/vfmf

[image]https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profile/voo

[image]https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profile/vt

[image]https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profile/vea

[image]https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profile/vwo

[image]https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profile/mgc

[image]https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profile/vone

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, MGC: Vanguard Mega Cap ETF (CRSP US Mega Cap Index), followed by VWO: Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap China A Inclusion Index) and VOO: Vanguard S&P 500 ETF are most likely. See the market for live updates (16 traders, as of Nov 5, 2025).