Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2026?

190Ṁ2604

Dec 31

99%

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ALL

Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will NOT resolve based on EOY 2026 prices compared to previous EOY prices. It will resolve based on whether the S&P 500 reaches a new all-time high at any point during 2026 (either intraday or closing price).

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Seems like it closed at an all time high, right?

bought Ṁ1,450 YES

@benjaminIkuta yes both intraday ATH and if using closes only, resolves YES

@Cactus Definitely YES.

@benjaminIkuta - do you mean, at some point during 2026 the S&P 500 (intraday or closing price) will reach a new all-time high? (I just want to check I'm not misunderstanding, in case you mean something else, like EOY 2026 vs previous EOY prices.)

@SacredChicken "in case you mean something else, like EOY 2026 vs previous EOY prices.)" well I certainly don't mean that

Can you clarify whether you will resolve based intra-day or closing price?

@dfish idk. Honestly, I didn't realize it was ambiguous. I would have assumed it meant at any point, but if there's a strong precedent for closing price, I suppose I could defer to that. I guess either way it'll probably end up moot.

@benjaminIkuta, I interpreted the criteria as anytime, including intra-day and closing, due to the lack of specification. However, I wanted to clarify in case you implicitly assumed only closing prices. I agree. It seems like both criteria will likely agree in this case.