Will I see any AI-only hardware in person this year? | Manifold

Will I see any AI-only hardware in person this year?

24

Ṁ1kṀ1.2k

resolved Mar 26

Resolved

N/A

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I’ve now seen a Vision Pro in the wild, but still haven’t seen anything AI-powered.

There have been a few AI-only (powered) products announced: Rabbit R1, Humane Pin, and I’m sure others. Will I see any in person in 2024?

I won’t bet in this market.

Facts that may affect your betting:

I live in San Francisco and ride public transit and go to crowded places a few times a week: i.e. visiting a farmers market, seeing a movie…etc.
I don’t count the Apple Vision Pro as AI-powered, or the Meta glasses. I don’t have a good way to quantify this, so let me know if you have any device questions or any suggestions of better ways to frame this.

Market context

Artificial Intelligence

Computer hardware

San Francisco Bay Area

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Which AI Hardware Governance Scenarios Will Come True?

Will OpenAI ship a hardware device in 2026?

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Which AI future will we get?

Will photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Will there be an AI smartphone brought to market by 2027?

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Sort by:

@mattyb Spot anything in the last month?

@mods This should probably N/A. Creator has been inactive for months

@mattyb would you resolve YES immediately if you see one?

@HenriThunberg sure

reposted

I’ve now seen a Vision Pro in the wild, but still haven’t seen anything AI-powered.

ive seen the humane pin in person while taking bay area public transit, it was really goofy

@astyerche I take a lot of MUNI, and do some good people watching in the tunnels. Really hoping to spot one in the wild.

@Nikos hmmmmm good sign is a reach

@Nikos I hope so!

@mattyb especially if @GabeGarboden brings some hardware

People are also trading

Which AI Hardware Governance Scenarios Will Come True?

Will OpenAI ship a hardware device in 2026?

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Which AI future will we get?

Will photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Will there be an AI smartphone brought to market by 2027?

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Related questions

Which AI Hardware Governance Scenarios Will Come True?

Will OpenAI ship a hardware device in 2026?

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Which AI future will we get?

Will photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Will there be an AI smartphone brought to market by 2027?

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy