Will "AI detection" meaningfully exist in 2028?
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e.g. the ability to distinguish if images or videos are AI generated to some reliable degree.

Being able to detect like >50% of entirely AI generated photos and videos would resolve this market YES. If it's unclear, resolves to a poll. Should be pretty obvious though I hope

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I think this will be tricky to resolve, especially in terms of what "50% of AI generated photos and videos" means. Like is this 50% of what comes out of frontier models? What if all the frontier models are watermarked and yet social media is full of AI generated content that's indistinguishable from real video (because hardly any of them are from frontier models)? Like there's this massive system in place to watermark and detect AI generated video but despite this the internet is flooded with AI generated content.

@Dulaman So AI detection would exist in a meaningful sense, it's just that it doesn't stop the tsunami of undetectable AI content

Do you consider the current AI detectors to "meaningfully exist" with respect to current GenAI?

If we do get a detector it would be used training the AI to become more realistic

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