What categories of hurricanes will hit the US in the 2024 season?
Basic
16
Ṁ1208
Dec 1
1%
Category 5 [>155mph]
Resolved
YES
Category 2 [96-110mph]
Resolved
YES
Category 3 [111-130mph]
Resolved
YES
Category 4 [131-155mph]

The strongest hurricane to hit the US in the 2024 season has been Beryl as a Category 1 (note that while the hurricane was a Cat. 5 at one point, it only struck the US as a category 1).

What strength hurricanes will hit US land during the 2024 season? All correct answers will Resolve YES once landfall has occurred.

Clarifying Details:

  • This counts both Atlantic and Pacific hurricanes.

  • The landfall must’ve occurred within the season (by the end of Nov 30th, local time) to count.

  • The US has a lot of land, including Hawaii and 16 territories, all are eligible here.

  • A hurricane that weakens from one category to the next, over US land, will count for both categories.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

@traders it looks like Helene reached the Gulf Coast of Florida as a category 4, and weakened to a cat 1 over land. accordingly i’m inclined to resolve both cat 4 and cat 3 as YES as:

A hurricane that weakens from one category to the next, over US land, will count for both categories

though basically no one is talking about the brief period where it was a cat 3.

i’ll leave this open for a day or so to make sure i’m not missing anything. if you think this isn’t the right decision, please opine!

bought Ṁ169 Category 2 [96-110mph] YES

Cat 2 occurred
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/al06/al062024.update.09112157.shtml?
Francine has made landfall in southern Louisiana in the Parish of Terrebonne, about 30 miles south-southwest of Morgan City, as a Category 2 hurricane.
@mattyb

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules