Which US states will experience (operational) hurricane conditions in 2024?
16
38
635
2025
75%
Florida
62%
Louisiana
62%
Georgia
49%
Texas
49%
South Carolina
43%
North Carolina

To resolve YES, a state must have an official NHC track point for a hurricane within the state's land borders with an intensity of Category 1 or higher. The storm must be tropical at the time of this intensity (post-tropical storms do not count). No subtropical storm that I'm aware of has ever been marked as a hurricane without a tropical transition, but if the NHC does this for the first time, it would count as a hurricane for the purposes of this market.

This market will use the operational strength of storms. Storms are sometimes revised up or down in intensity after the season; these changes will not affect the resolutions of this market.

A hurricane does not need to make landfall in a specific state for a state to resolve YES. For example, 2023's Hurricane Idalia made landfall in Florida and moved into Georgia as a hurricane; both Florida and Georgia would resolve YES if this storm had occurred in 2024.

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