Which US states will experience (operational) hurricane conditions in 2024?
32
1.9kṀ15k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES
Florida
Resolved
YES
Texas
Resolved
YES
Louisiana
Resolved
YES
Georgia
Resolved
NO
North Carolina
Resolved
NO
South Carolina
Resolved
NO
New York
Resolved
NO
Alabama
Resolved
NO
Mississippi
Resolved
NO
New Jersey
Resolved
NO
Maryland
Resolved
NO
Virginia
Resolved
NO
Delaware
Resolved
NO
California
Resolved
NO
Hawaii

To resolve YES, a state must have an official NHC track point for a hurricane within the state's land borders with an intensity of Category 1 or higher. The storm must be tropical at the time of this intensity (post-tropical storms do not count). No subtropical storm that I'm aware of has ever been marked as a hurricane without a tropical transition, but if the NHC does this for the first time, it would count as a hurricane for the purposes of this market.

This market will use the operational strength of storms. Storms are sometimes revised up or down in intensity after the season; these changes will not affect the resolutions of this market.

A hurricane does not need to make landfall in a specific state for a state to resolve YES. For example, 2023's Hurricane Idalia made landfall in Florida and moved into Georgia as a hurricane; both Florida and Georgia would resolve YES if this storm had occurred in 2024.

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Unless there is ongoing activity that could impact any of those states before the end of the day, which seems impossible, all the unresolved options can resolve NO.

@SaviorofPlant

SUMMARY OF 100 AM EDT...0500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.8N 83.5W ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM WSW OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ENE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H

@SaviorofPlant can resolve YES

Nobody put Hawaii until now?

Why not include Alabama, Mississippi, and some other north-eastern states?

bought Ṁ50 NO

Done

Maine, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New Hampshire?

They also have histories of hurricanes. Up to you

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