I suspect the original OpenAI Deep Research page was written by Deep Research.

Why are you guys so optimistic about this? Just about one year to go and still nowhere close, right?

My experience with AI topics is that "techbros" really overrate the competence of AI consistently, especially when the problem statement has nothing to do with AI.

In this case, this is very much a Wikipedia question. So even if o4 and o5/o6 make massive enough leaps that they mimic a Wikipedia article well enough, I consider an approximately <0.1% chance it will be accepted by the English Wikipedia community at large

How's it going?

Does it count if it would do that against the rules? I imagine a private auto-GPT-6 agent deciding to run a smear campaign/promote X product.

@xxx Yes, but if it's effectively detected and reverted, then it wouldn't be successful.

@xxx I will add that, in the spirit of the question, if it evades reversion merely because it just so happens that nobody sees it, because it's obscure, or something like that, rather than because of the quality of the writing, I would not consider that to be a success.

@BenjaminIkuta what if just barely happens on a technicality, like grammar correction? Because Wikipedia has a lot of mundane tasks where setting up the ai is more work than doing it.

@MakrIngrajam Grammar correction is not substantive original prose.

@BenjaminIkuta Wikipedia editing is a polticial process dominated by nerd fascism. Not even humans can edit Wikipedia without heavy review by moderators so unless Wikipedia symbolically allows an ai to make a token edit it will never be allowed.

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-ai-be-successfully-editing-wik-11fdf1b221ac

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-ai-be-successfully-editing-wik-332bd66c0db5

An AI that scrapes news to add automatic updates to ongoin events, for example results of sporting events

@EduardoFilippi Tables of sports scores aren't exactly "substantive original cited prose."

Given Wikipedia nutritious history of beaucracy and difficulty when it comes to updating articles, I have EXTREME doubts

@Qvex yeah, me too. This market is overvalued imo.

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-ai-be-successfully-editing-wik-528e0dd8c99d

When you say 'unassisted', is it OK for a human to prompt the AI by asking/triggering a command to make it edit a particular page, or does the AI have to be fully autonomous? In the latter case, regardless of capabilities, wikipedia might well ban such activity (or in the former, but it's somewhat less likely).

@AngolaMaldives If the human can review the edit and choose to stop it before it's published, then it doesn't count.