Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?
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2030
72%
chance

If the human can review the edit and choose to stop it before it's published, then it doesn't count. English Wikipedia, mainspace.

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FWIW they use lots of basic bots already, so imho if they add an AI that at least e.g. detects prose as being probably-a-troll, that should count.

predicts YES

@NicholasKross this question specifies "adding substantive original cited prose"

predicts YES

@jcb oh