Will Wikipedia still exist in 2100?
11
Ṁ150Ṁ1642100
67%
chance
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https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Wikipedia_will_exist_in_the_far_future
If it only exists in an archival form, historical museum exhibit, or similar, this resolves NO. In order to resolve YES it must exist in something like its present function, of being an active information resource.
This is very subjective, don't bet if you don't trust my judgement.
Update 2025-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * A major split (with controversy over the real Wikipedia) could resolve YES, but not if it splits too many times.
If only a relatively small group is allowed to edit Wikipedia (even if it's online and updated), this market will resolve NO. This is because broad editability by most people is considered a core principle.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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