Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
46
124
1k
2026
50%
chance

The service allows anyone within some area (possibly restricted, possibly not) to hail an autonomous Tesla. They are either not able to or not required to drive it themselves.

Dec 3, 7:12pm: Will Tesla provide an autonomous driving service before the end of 2026 → Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

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predicts YES

Elon has once again, for iirc the 7th year running, claimed to believe that full self driving is less than a year away. https://www.youtube.com/live/3MVIWeU36ZY?feature=share&t=1769

Personally I learned he's uh unreliable about this like 5 years ago, and decided it would probably actually land in 2025, and I still feel that way.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

Fully self-driving cars still aren't close to ready for primetime yet, and are unlikely to get regulatory approval for a while after they are. This is a pretty easy NO bet.

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