The market resolves to the year in which a regular user (not selected, invited, or employed by Tesla) first successfully hails a Tesla Robovan through an app and completes a fully autonomous ride without a human driver controlling the vehicle or acting as a safety monitor/backstop. The ride must occur on public roads and be offered as a commercial service to the general public.

The market can resolve positively even if the Robovan design changes significantly or the vehicle is renamed. The essential characteristic is that it be a single autonomous vehicle manufactured and operated by Tesla which carries at least 8 passengers. That is, an autonomous Model Y or Model X carrying 7 passengers is not sufficient. A theoretical, autonomous Cyber SUV carrying 7 passengers is also not sufficient. It must be a larger form factor vehicle carrying at least 8 passengers.

Resolves "Never" if the market closes before the above criteria are met.

Resolution will be verified through official Tesla announcements, credible news reports, an documentation from regulatory agencies confirming the service launch.